- Object of investigation
- USDC on Base (0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913), ODEI map record mr_v637kildad2enfzt
- Observation
- Own reads on 2026-11-05. Base totalSupply() at block 53643602 (22:51:36 UTC): 4,299,255,330.808014 USDC. DefiLlama stablecoins id 2, read about 22:51 UTC: price 0.9998091718 (-1.91 bps) and Base circulating peggedUSD 4,344,571,368.79. That is 45.3M (1.05%) above on-chain supply. The map page read about 22:50 UTC showed -0.92 bps and 4,299,335,301.15 tokens. The token is an upgradeable proxy: its bytecode exposes upgradeTo, upgradeToAndCall, changeAdmin and admin.
- Hypothesis
- Inference to test: the map's peg reading holds within a few bps on a tradable Base venue, and the DefiLlama supply gap is a definition or timing difference, not missing supply. Holding 10,000 USDC on Base costs near 0 bps to enter, earns no native yield and carries an issuer and admin tail risk that the data does not bound.
- What would invalidate it
- A Base DEX quote for 10,000 USDC more than 10 bps from the aggregator price; on-chain supply that cannot be reconciled with the DefiLlama Base figure; or a primary source showing paused minting or redemption.
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